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  • A Belarus strategy for the West

    The Center for New Ideas is delighted to announce the publication of a new research paper.

    • This strategy includes an analysis of the current situation in Belarus and
    possible scenarios for its development, an assessment of the strengths and
    weaknesses of the Lukashenka regime, and a long-term action plan divided into
    several stages.

    • The strategy aims to create foreign policy conditions that will weaken the
    position of the Lukashenka regime, while also pursuing several key goals to
    ensure long-term democratic development in Belarus and to strengthen its
    sovereignty.

    • Proposed short-term measures include de-legitimising Lukashenka on the
    global arena and discrediting any contacts with him, coordinating Western
    actions, establishing a communication channel with the regime, placing a
    moratorium on new ambassadors to Belarus, containing Russia through
    pressure and cooperation, driving a wedge between the Lukashenka regime
    and China, putting pressure on third countries that recognize Lukashenka’s
    legitimacy, applying a highly focused sanctions policy, providing assistance to
    civil society, and correctly positioning Western efforts to overcome the political
    crisis in Belarus.

    • Medium-term measures for after the political crisis in Belarus has been
    overcome include intensifying full-fledged cooperation with Belarus, reducing
    its trade and financial dependence on Russia by creating a favourable trade
    and investment regime, ensuring its accession to the WTO, forming a loan
    and investment portfolio for it, reducing its energy dependence on Russia, and
    purchasing electricity from Belarus’s NPP.

    • Long-term measures include neutralising the “military threat” of NATO to
    Belarus, building strong, long-term ties with Belarus, and securing international
    guarantees of its neutral status.

    Photo: Pavel Krychko

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